
Robert J. Coen, advertising data hero
Advertising expenditure data by media for the U.S. from 1935 to 2007 are publicly available mainly because of Robert J. Coen. In 1935, L.D.H. Weld, Director of Research for McCann-Erickson and formerly Professor of Business Administration, Sheffield Scientific School, Yale University, published advertising data in the magazine Printers’ Ink. Weld died in 1946. Robert J. Coen joined McCann-Erickson in 1948, just after he completed a Master’s Degree in mathematics. Coen took up compiling and publishing the advertising data in 1950.[1] He continued compiling and publishing the advertising data through December, 2008.
The Coen advertising data are widely published and highly regarded. The data have been published in Printers’ Ink magazine, Tide Magazine, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Survey of Current Business, the U.S. Census Bureau’s Statistical Abstracts and its Historical Statistics of the United States, Advertising Age, and various other publications under a variety of attributions. The Coen advertising data in aggregate are broadly consistent with government-produced advertising data. The Coen advertising data add to government advertising data insightful categorization of advertising expenditure by media.
The Coen advertising estimates are based mainly on private sources. In the mid-1950s, those sources were the American Newspaper Publishers Assocation, A. C. Nielson Company, Publishers’ Information Bureau, Farm Publication Reports, Inc., the Direct Mail Advertising Assocation, Angelo R. Venezian (a leader in the business-to-business trade press), Outdoor Advertising, Inc., and the Federal Communications Commission. [2] Without Robert J. Coen’s work within the advertising industry for sixty-one years, a long time-series of advertising expenditure by media almost surely would not be readily available. Most likely, most of the advertising data by media would have been lost forever.
One can easily imagine business reasons for not making data public. Data costs money to collect and maintain. Others shouldn’t be able to get it for free. Selling limited access to data can serve as a source of business revenue. Making data public might reveal some information that would be better not to reveal. If others gain access to the data, they might figure out how to compete more effectively with your business. Fear, uncertainty, and doubt can prompt organizations to do nothing, say nothing, share nothing.
Making data public can be a good business practice. Making data public enhances the credibility of data through widespread, independent review of it. Making data public can raise an organization’s business profile and foster its association with valuable knowledge. Making data public can further development of an industry. Making data public contributes to the stock of public knowledge that will endure and grow forever. That’s a noble project in which everyone can and should play a part.
Robert J. Coen, now 87 years old, recently stepped down from his post as an advertising forecasting director. Coen has been widely regarded as a leading advertising forecaster since at least the early 1980s. When Coen joined McCann-Erickson in 1948, it was the sixth largest advertising agency in the U.S. Interpublic Group, which evolved from McCann-Erickson, is now one of the big-four global advertising holding companies. Coen and McCann-Erickson have both succeeded in business and made a major contribution to public knowledge.
Notes:
[1] Alter, Stewart (1994), Truth well told: McCann-Erickson and the pioneering of global advertising (McCann-Erickson Worldwide Publishers) p. 116.
[2] See source description in Historical statistics of the United States, colonial times to 1957, p. 516.
national-scope statistical sources on U.S. libraries
Professor Williams, University of South Carolina, School of Library and Information Science, has compiled an excellent bibliographic guide to national-scope U.S. library statistics from 1829 to 1999. This thorough work documents an amazing amount of data available about libraries, which were and remain a key part of public information infrastructure. I used an early draft of Prof. Williams’ bibliographic guide to compile U.S. library book circulation per library user from 1856 to the present. Library statistics might also provide insight into the evolution of the geographic coverage of information infrastructure. The geographic distribution of Carnegie libraries in 1920 shows roughly ten times fewer Carnegie libraries per capita in the South compared to the Northeast (data, map). An important resource for studying the geographic distribution of libraries would be Louis Round Wilson’s The geography of reading: a study of the distribution and status of libraries in the United States (Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1938).
alternate estimates of U.S. advertising expenditure
Coen’s estimates of total U.S. advertising expenditure from 1996 to 2006 are roughly comparable to estimates derived from Census data and IRS data. The Coen estimates are about 35% higher than estimates from Census data and about 8% lower than estimates from IRS data.
The Census-based advertising estimates come from annual surveys of establishments’ revenues. These surveys are benchmarked to the pentennial Census of Business, which is also establishment-based. The Coen ad expenditure figures exceed the Census figures most significantly for direct mail and miscellaneous categories. Establishments with primary businesses are other than direct-mail and miscellaneous advertising, but that also engage in these advertising activities, do not have their advertising revenue captured in the Census-based estimates. This measurement effect may account for some of the difference between the Census-based estimates and the Coen estimates.
The IRS-based advertising estimates come from advertising deductions submitted on businesses’ required annual tax returns. The IRS-based estimates included advertising deductions reported for all types of corporations, nonfarm sole proprietorships, and partnerships (estimated). For further analysis of IRS advertising data, see my analysis of small-business advertising. Advertising deductions on business tax returns may include some internal business expenses for advertising. Such expenses would not be included in the Coen figures.
All three data sources provide different sub-categories of advertising expenditure. All three sources are helpful for better understanding information industries.
out of the male bag
Men die on average five years sooner than women.
Men are good at dying.
Women and children first off the sinking boat.
Men are good at dying.
Send the men out to fight.
Men are good at dying.
Let them learn how to hunt for drugs.
Men are good at dying.
Cuff his wrist with a watch.
Men are good at dying.
Let him watch sports from a couch.
Men are good at dying.
Men are dying.