overturning regulatory calls

The National Basketball Association (NBA) is the premier professional basketball league in the U.S.  Officiating in the NBA is roughly equivalent to working in a federal regulatory agency, with NBA officials get getting somewhat more public appreciation and a lot less heckling.

In the 2008-09 NBA season, the number of calls that officials chose to reconsider on video (at least 1033 calls) was not much less than the number of games played (1230). Hence motions for video reconsideration were common.

NBA officials determine whether a shot attempt was a two-point shot or a three-point shot.  Requests for video reconsideration of such calls led to the overturning of 27% of those reviewed (140 out of 519 calls).  The calls for which officials request a review are close calls.  If in these circumstances officials calls were no better than random and the video review always determined the correct call, then 50% of the reviewed calls would be overturned.  With a overturn share of 27%, officials are overturning half as many reviewed calls as the random benchmark. Officials’ calls stood up better in reconsideration of clock decisions: 6% of those decisions (31 out of 514) were overturned.

Deciding correctly all regulatory decisions is difficult even for highly experienced, highly professional officials.  Unfortunately, watching video is of no help in many areas of regulation.

*  *  *  *  *

These statistics are from the magazine Referee, December 2010, p. 61.

John Lydus on a revolution in formal authority

bronze pot and ceremonial halberd, China, Erlitou culture (ca. 1800-1600 BCE) or early Shang dynasty (ca. 1600-1400 BCE), in Freer Gallery

Systematic decision-making requires supporting information technology.  In sixth-century Byzantium, the judicial bureaucrat John Lydus complained that the new, leading financial bureaucrat:

did not give the business that was being transacted to the proper overseers of the regions, called tractatores, namely, “regional governors,” or to accountants, to be filled in conformably to the established custom in order that nothing might be done contrary to the law, but he ordered the documents to be filled in through the agency of his own men, gaining himself authority over the expenditure-records which were wont to be handed over to their proper document-completers. [1]

Filling in forms typically is a job for low-ranking bureaucrats. In a civilized society, an army of document-completers enables authority in practice.

whenever very great difficulties arose for the taxpayers as a result of the fact that the issuance of documents was not undertaken conformably to proper procedure, he himself became vexed and inflicted sentences of death upon those who did not understand the power of the documents that had been carelessly and haphazardly issued. And a custom prevailed since his time whereby all haphazardly write, fill in, and issue documents that are totally not understood by them, whereas formerly they had been safeguarded in countless ways

Not filling in forms in accordance with established procedure creates opportunities for new, ad hoc judgments.  If the new span of judgment is wide enough, the result is effectively an authoritative coup.

John Lydus seemed to have an “absolute conviction that the fate of the Roman empire hinged upon the scrupulous observance of seemingly mundane and trivial bureaucratic practices.”[2] Lydus may well have been right.

*  *  *  *  *

Read more:

Notes:

[1] John Lydus, On powers or The magistracies of the Roman state 3.68, from Greek trans. Bandy (1983), p. 241.

[2] Pazdernik (2009) p. 205. Even if Lydus over-estimated the importance of bureaucratic details, a well-functioning bureaucracy is essential to a well-functioning state. The Byzantine Empire had well-developed bureaucratese, among other indicators of bureaucratic excellence.

References:

Bandy, Anastasius C., trans. 1983. Joannes Lydus. On powers or The magistracies of the Roman state. Memoirs of the American Philosophical Society, 149.

Pazdernik, Charles F. 2009. “Fortune’s Laughter and a Bureaucrat’s Tears: Sorrow, Supplication and Sovereignty in Justinianic Constantinpole.” Pp. 397-418 in Thorsten Fögen, ed. Tears in the Graeco-Roman world (Berlin: Walter de Gruyter).

accessibility of a good increases its value

An scholarly article in a leading economics journal recently considered “the problem of a restaurateur who has to decide whether to provide customers with a written menu, a picture-based menu, or a desert tray.”

Scientific experiments provide relevant evidence.  Laboratory tests indicate that a picture of an item does not prompt a higher valuation for the item than does a textual description.  However, if the item is accessible to the subject (the subject could grasp the item, if allowed), willingness-to-pay is 40% to 60% higher. The effect does not depend on the the smell of the (food) item, and the effect does not occur if the item is presented behind a plexiglass barrier.  The immediate accessibility of an item to a subject seems to prompt an unconscious process, which the authors call a Pavlovian process, that increases the value of the item to the subject in those circumstances.

Hence the scholars conclude:

The results in this paper suggest that dessert sales should go up significantly if the restaurant uses the dessert tray as opposed to the other two options. Furthermore, the results of the plexiglass experiment suggest that a transparent glass dome should not cover the dessert tray, as is the practice in some establishments.

These result also indicate limits of sense in mediated communication.  Real, accessible presence seems to evoke a distinctive response.

*  *  *  *  *

Reference:

Benjamin Bushong, Lindsay M. King, Colin F. Camerer, and Antonio Rangel, Pavlovian Processes in Consumer Choice: The Physical Presence of a Good Increases Willingness-to-pay, American Economic Review 100 (September 2010): 1–18.  The quoted text above is from p. 13.

Joannes Lydus on media costs in late antiquity

The shift from paper to electronic media continues a long-term decline in the cost of media for writing.  Comments that a Byzantine bureaucrat Joannes Lydus made in the Byzantine capital of Constantinople about 552 GC testify to this long-term trend.  Joannes Lydus had retired from 40 years of bureaucratic service.  He was disgruntled with changes that begin about 531 GC.  Lydus complained:

members of the {Byzantine imperial bureaucracy} stoop to demand even parchment of those who transact business {with the imperial government}, while previously it was customary not only not to attempt such shabby things, but, besides, to consume even the clearest parchment of all for the transactions, with the scribes resplendent proportionally to their parchments.  Both of these things, however, vanished afterwards {after 531}, and from the lack of money they exact {as a transaction fee} an extremely modest and disgraceful copper {instead of gold coin} and issue grass instead of parchment, covered with inferior writing and redolent of poverty.[1]

Requiring a petitioner to supply the writing material for an imperial order indicates not just poverty, but the significant cost of even just a small piece of writing material.[2]  Grass here seems to mean papyrus, a writing material made from a grass-like plant. It contrasts with parchment, a more expensive writing material made from animal skins. The quality of the writing material is prominent within the more general contrast in quality. Other contrasts in quality are the scribes’ dress, the size of the transaction fee, and the form of the writing.[3]  Hence the cost of writing material ranked with other costs that were more obviously sizable.

stack of paper

*  *  *  *  *

Read more:

Notes:

[1] Lydus, Joannes, trans. from Greek by Anastasius C. Bandy (1983) On powers or The magistracies of the Roman state (Memoirs of the American Philosophical Society, 149) 3.14 (p.  155). The ending portion “issue … poverty.” is from the translation in Kelly, Christopher (2004), Ruling the Later Roman Empire (Belknap Press of Harvard University) p. 81.  In addition, the first two instances of “parchment” in the translation above are rendered as “paper” in Bandy’s translation.  I have changed them to parchment for consistency with the root word in the original Greek text.

[2] Cassiodorus, a senior official in the early sixth-century Ostrogothic government that ruled Italy, declared in 534 GC in a letter to a local tax collector:

Rightly did Antiquity ordain that a large store of paper should be laid in by our Bureaux (Scrinia), that litigants might receive the decision of the Judge clearly written, without delay, and without avaricious and impudent charges for the paper which bore it. … Therefore for this thirteenth Indiction pay so many solidi from the land-tax of the Tuscan Province to our Bureau, that it may be able to keep in perpetuity a faithful record of all its transactions.

Cassiodorus, Letters, 11.38, trans. Thomas Hodgkin (London, 1886) p. 483.

[3] Joannes Lydus lamented the shift from literary Latin to common Greek as the language of Byzantine government documents.  He favored verbal eloquence and rank-distinguished ceremonial dress for government bureaucrats.  The term “inferior writing” thus could refer to generic language type (Greek versus Latin), calligraphic quality, and literary quality.